National Chairman of the National Democratic Congress (NDC), Johnson Asiedu Nketia, remains the frontrunner in the race to lead the party into the 2028 general election, according to a new Global InfoAnalytics survey.
The poll, released in July 2026, shows Mr. Asiedu Nketia commanding 27 percent support among NDC delegates, despite a slight drop from the 29 percent recorded in the research firm’s April survey.
The latest findings, however, indicate a tightening contest as Finance Minister Dr. Cassiel Ato Forson continues to gain momentum. His support has risen from 19 percent in April to 22 percent, narrowing the gap with the party chairman.
The survey also recorded significant changes in the fortunes of other potential contenders. Education Minister Haruna Iddrisu experienced the sharpest decline, dropping from 11 percent to 6 percent, while Vice President Professor Jane Naana Opoku-Agyemang’s support dipped slightly from 8 percent to 7 percent. Former Chief of Staff Julius Debrah also saw his support fall from 8 percent to 5 percent.
Professor Joshua Alabi, Minister for Food and Agriculture Eric Opoku and other prospective aspirants each secured one percent support, while 30 percent of delegates said they remain undecided, up from 24 percent in April.
The survey further explored delegates’ views on Mr. Asiedu Nketia’s future as National Chairman of the party. It found that 61 percent support his continued leadership in that position, while 26 percent believe he should not remain chairman. Thirteen percent expressed no opinion.
In a separate question, delegates were asked whether the NDC should field Dr. Ato Forson to contest the 2028 presidential election against a possible New Patriotic Party (NPP) candidate, Dr. Mahamudu Bawumia.
The poll found that 58 percent agreed Dr. Forson should lead the party into the next election, compared to 23 percent who disagreed, while 19 percent remained undecided.
Interestingly, one-quarter of delegates who currently support Mr. Asiedu Nketia’s presidential bid also indicated they would support Dr. Ato Forson as the party’s eventual presidential candidate.
The survey revealed an increasingly competitive race between the two leading contenders. In a direct head-to-head contest, Mr. Asiedu Nketia polled 34 percent against Dr. Ato Forson’s 33 percent, with 33 percent of delegates still undecided. In April, Mr. Asiedu Nketia held a wider advantage of 37 percent to 32 percent.
Mr. Asiedu Nketia maintained a more comfortable lead when matched against other potential aspirants. He polled 45 percent against Haruna Iddrisu’s 16 percent, while 39 percent of delegates remained undecided. He also led Professor Jane Naana Opoku-Agyemang by 46 percent to 15 percent and Julius Debrah by 45 percent to 16 percent.
The regional breakdown highlighted Dr. Ato Forson’s growing strength in key electoral areas. In the swing regions of Greater Accra, Central and Western, he led with 29 percent support, ahead of Mr. Asiedu Nketia’s 23 percent. Professor Jane Naana Opoku-Agyemang secured 8 percent, Julius Debrah 5 percent and Haruna Iddrisu 4 percent, while 27 percent of delegates remained undecided.
In the Akan-speaking regions, comprising Ashanti, Ahafo, Bono, Bono East, Central, Eastern, Western and Western North, Mr. Asiedu Nketia maintained a narrow lead with 27 percent, closely followed by Dr. Ato Forson on 25 percent. Professor Jane Naana Opoku-Agyemang polled 6 percent, Julius Debrah 5 percent and Haruna Iddrisu 3 percent, while 31 percent of respondents remained undecided.
The findings suggest that although Johnson Asiedu Nketia remains the early favourite to secure the NDC’s presidential nomination for the 2028 elections, Dr. Cassiel Ato Forson is steadily emerging as a formidable challenger, setting the stage for what could become a highly competitive contest within the governing party.
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